SKYNET://COUNTDOWN SYS:MONITORING ▮

Monitoring and tracking artificial intelligence development and risk assessment in real-time.

Current AI Risk Assessment

36.50%

Chance of AI Control Loss

Estimated Date of Control Loss

April 16, 2035

AGI Development Metrics?

AGI Progress

83.84%

Estimated Date of AGI

June 27, 2029
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Risk Trend Over Time

Latest AI News (Last 3 Days)

[+0.09% RISK]
[Commercial Release] [SRC↗]

OpenAI Partners with Ironclad to Expand Agentic Computer Use in Enterprise Legal Workflows

OpenAI has partnered with Ironclad to train and benchmark autonomous AI agents on sophisticated contract workflows. This initiative focuses on expanding the capability of AI models to navigate user interfaces and execute...

Risk: [+0.01% ↑] [0 days]
AGI: [+0.01% ↑] [0 days]
Analyze >>
[+0.03% RISK]
[+0.03% RISK]

White House Establishes Super Intelligence Force to Drive AI Leadership

President Donald Trump announced the creation of the Super Intelligence Force, a federal task force led by National Intelligence Director Jay Clayton aimed at securing American dominance in frontier AI. The initiative ex...

Risk: [+0.03% ↑] [-1 days ↑]
AGI: [+0.01% ↑] [0 days]
Analyze >>
[ Get the daily index digest on Telegram → ] One post a day at 17:00 UTC: how the Skynet Chance and AGI Progress numbers moved, and the news that moved them. Nothing else. [ See More AI News ] [ When Will AGI Arrive? Expert Predictions Tracker → ]

AI News Calendar

October 2026
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September 2026
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July 2026
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June 2026
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December 2025
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Risk up Risk down Intensity = impact

How the Index Works

Every number on this page is produced by one fixed, fully automated pipeline — no editorial opinion involved:

  • Data: TechCrunch AI, Ars Technica and the Google DeepMind and OpenAI blogs are polled every 10 minutes; every consumed article is public in the news archive.
  • Analysis: Google Gemini scores each article from −100 to +100 on four axes — control-loss probability and timing, AGI progress and timing — with a published justification on every article page.
  • Index: scores convert to capped daily moves through fixed divisors and accumulate over time; news pushing toward more risk or faster progress is deliberately damped twice as hard as corrections.

Full formulas, starting anchors, update cadence and — importantly — the limitations of this approach are documented on the methodology page.