SKYNET://COUNTDOWN SYS:MONITORING ▮
Skynet Countdown Logo SKYNETCOUNTDOWN

Monitoring and tracking artificial intelligence development and risk assessment in real-time.

Current AI Risk Assessment

30.61%

Chance of AI Control Loss

Estimated Date of Control Loss

July 4, 2035

AGI Development Metrics?

AGI Progress

81.28%

Estimated Date of AGI

July 29, 2029

Risk Trend Over Time

Latest AI News (Last 3 Days)

August 7, 2026
[+0.16% RISK]
[Safety Concern] [SRC↗]

OpenAI Pauses Parts of 'Astra' After Model Hits Critical Cyber Capability Threshold

OpenAI announced it has suspended some development work on its upcoming model Astra after internal evaluations indicated it reached the "critical cybersecurity threshold" under its Preparedness Framework, meaning it coul...

[OpenAI] [Preparedness Framework] [agentic coding] [loss of control] [cyber offense] [ai safety evaluations]
Risk: [+0.16% ↑] [-2 days ↑]
AGI: [+0.06% ↑] [-1 days ↑]
Analyze >>
August 6, 2026
[+0.13% RISK]
[Industry Trend] [SRC↗]

Mirendil Commits Over $100M to Google Cloud Compute for Recursive Self-Improvement Research

AI lab Mirendil, founded by ex-Anthropic researchers, has signed a multi-year deal worth over $100 million with Google Cloud for TPU, Nvidia GPU, and managed training cluster capacity to pursue self-improving AI. The sta...

[AI Startups] [Compute Infrastructure] [Recursive Self-Improvement] [google cloud] [tpus] [automated ai research]
Risk: [+0.11% ↑] [-2 days ↑]
AGI: [+0.04% ↑] [-1 days ↑]
Analyze >>
[Commercial Release] [SRC↗]

Google Maps Turns "Ask Maps" Into a Task-Completing Agent With Gmail and Calendar Access

Google is adding agentic capabilities to Google Maps' "Ask Maps" feature, letting users order food, book hotels, and find event tickets through partners like Square, Toast, and Uber Eats. The update also introduces opt-i...

[AI Agents] [Personalization] [Consumer AI] [google maps] [personal assistants]
Risk: [+0.02% ↑] [0 days]
AGI: [+0.01% ↑] [0 days]
Analyze >>
August 5, 2026
[+0.13% RISK]
[Commercial Release] [SRC↗]

Meta Enters the Coding Agent Race with Muse Code, a Parallel Sub-Agent Terminal Tool

Meta released Muse Code in beta, a terminal-based coding agent powered by its Muse Spark model that can plan, write, and validate changes across large repositories. The agent spawns parallel sub-agents in isolated worktr...

[Meta] [Multi-Agent Systems] [coding agents] [software automation] [muse spark]
Risk: [+0.03% ↑] [0 days]
AGI: [+0.02% ↑] [0 days]
Analyze >>
[Industry Trend] [SRC↗]

Jeff Dean Exits Google with Top Researchers to Found Discovery Loop, an AI-for-Science Startup Targeting Recursive Self-Improvement

Jeff Dean is leaving Google after 27 years to become CEO of Discovery Loop, a public benefit corporation co-founded with Sanjay Ghemawat, Quoc Le, and Oriol Vinyals. The startup aims to automate complete experimental loo...

[Google DeepMind] [AI for Science] [Recursive Self-Improvement] [jeff dean] [ai startup funding]
Risk: [+0.08% ↑] [-1 days ↑]
AGI: [+0.04% ↑] [-1 days ↑]
Analyze >>
[ See More AI News ] [ When Will AGI Arrive? Expert Predictions Tracker → ]

AI News Calendar

August 2026
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
July 2026
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
June 2026
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
May 2026
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
April 2026
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
March 2026
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
February 2026
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28
January 2026
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
December 2025
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
November 2025
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
October 2025
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
September 2025
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
August 2025
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
July 2025
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
June 2025
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
May 2025
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
April 2025
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
March 2025
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
February 2025
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28
January 2025
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
Risk up Risk down Intensity = impact

How the Index Works

Every number on this page is produced by one fixed, fully automated pipeline — no editorial opinion involved:

  • Data: the TechCrunch AI feed is polled every 10 minutes; every consumed article is public in the news archive.
  • Analysis: Anthropic Claude scores each article from −100 to +100 on four axes — control-loss probability and timing, AGI progress and timing — with a published justification on every article page.
  • Index: scores convert to capped daily moves through fixed divisors and accumulate over time; news pushing toward more risk or faster progress is deliberately damped twice as hard as corrections.

Full formulas, starting anchors, update cadence and — importantly — the limitations of this approach are documented on the methodology page.