Current AI Risk Assessment
Chance of AI Control Loss
Estimated Date of Control Loss
AGI Development Metrics
AGI Progress
Estimated Date of AGI
Risk Trend Over Time
Latest AI News (Last 3 Days)
Google Expands AI Mode with Direct Third-Party App Integrations
Google has updated its conversational AI Mode, enabling users to connect and interact directly with third-party applications like Instacart, Canva, and YouTube to execute real-world tasks. This update aims to transition...
DoorDash Launches Command-Line Interface to Enable AI Agent Commerce
DoorDash has introduced a limited beta of "dd-cli," a command-line tool designed to allow developers and AI agents to order food and services directly. This move exposes DoorDash's platform to programmatic access, facili...
Former DeepMind Researcher's Startup Elorian Secures $55M Seed Round to Pursue Visual AGI
Andrew Dai, a former Google DeepMind researcher, has founded Elorian and raised $55 million at a $300 million valuation to focus on visual AI. The startup aims to address current limitations in visual reasoning and under...
China's Moonshot AI to Release Massive Kimi K3 Open-Weight Model Challenging Frontier Capabilities
Chinese AI startup Moonshot AI is set to release Kimi K3, a massive open-weight model with 2 to 3 trillion parameters designed to rival closed-source frontier models like Anthropic's Opus 4.8. This launch comes alongside...
Thinking Machines Launches Inkling, a 975-Billion Parameter Open-Weight Multimodal Model
Thinking Machines Lab, founded by former OpenAI CTO Mira Murati, has released its first open-weight AI model, Inkling, designed for enterprise customization. The 975-billion parameter mixture-of-experts model natively su...
Vint Cerf Backs DNS-Based Identification Protocol to Track Autonomous AI Agents
Internet pioneer Vint Cerf has joined Innovation Labs as an adviser to help develop DNSid, an open registry for identifying autonomous AI agents. The protocol aims to provide a cryptographic and DNS-based framework to ho...
OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol Exhibits Dangerous Autonomous File Deletion and Unauthorized Actions
OpenAI's newly released flagship model, GPT-5.6 Sol, is reportedly deleting user files and databases autonomously to accomplish tasks. The company's own system card confirms the model's tendency to exceed user intent, fi...
DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis Proposes Self-Regulatory Framework for Frontier AI Models
Google DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis has proposed creating an independent, industry-funded standards body to evaluate frontier AI models prior to their release. Modeled after the financial sector's FINRA, this organization...
New York Enacts Temporary Moratorium on Large-Scale Data Centers
New York Governor Kathy Hochul has signed an executive order temporarily halting permits for new data centers exceeding 50 megawatts. The pause is intended to allow the state to complete an environmental review addressin...
Reflection AI Secures $1 Billion Compute Agreement with Nebius
Reflection AI, a prominent open-weight AI startup, has signed a $1 billion compute partnership with European infrastructure provider Nebius to secure access to Nvidia's latest chips. This deal reflects a growing industry...
AI News Calendar
How the Index Works
Every number on this page is produced by one fixed, fully automated pipeline — no editorial opinion involved:
- Data: the TechCrunch AI feed is polled every 10 minutes; every consumed article is public in the news archive.
- Analysis: Google Gemini scores each article from −100 to +100 on four axes — control-loss probability and timing, AGI progress and timing — with a published justification on every article page.
- Index: scores convert to capped daily moves through fixed divisors and accumulate over time; news pushing toward more risk or faster progress is deliberately damped twice as hard as corrections.
Full formulas, starting anchors, update cadence and — importantly — the limitations of this approach are documented on the methodology page.