April 8, 2025 News
Deep Cogito Unveils Open Hybrid AI Models with Toggleable Reasoning Capabilities
Deep Cogito has emerged from stealth mode introducing the Cogito 1 family of openly available AI models featuring hybrid architecture that allows switching between standard and reasoning modes. The company claims these models outperform existing open models of similar size and will soon release much larger models up to 671 billion parameters, while explicitly stating its ambitious goal of building "general superintelligence."
Skynet Chance (+0.09%): A new AI lab explicitly targeting "general superintelligence" while developing high-performing, openly available models significantly raises the risk of uncontrolled AGI development, especially as their approach appears to prioritize capability advancement over safety considerations.
Skynet Date (-3 days): The rapid development of these hybrid models by a small team in just 75 days, combined with their open availability and the planned scaling to much larger models, accelerates the timeline for potentially dangerous capabilities becoming widely accessible.
AGI Progress (+0.1%): The development of toggleable hybrid reasoning models that reportedly outperform existing models of similar size represents meaningful architectural innovation that could improve AI reasoning capabilities, especially with the planned rapid scaling to much larger models.
AGI Date (-5 days): A small team developing advanced hybrid reasoning models in just 75 days, planning to scale rapidly to 671B parameters, and explicitly targeting superintelligence suggests a significant acceleration in the AGI development timeline through open competition and capability-focused research.
Former OpenAI Leadership Joins Mira Murati's AI Startup as Advisers
Thinking Machines Lab, the AI startup founded by former OpenAI CTO Mira Murati, has added two prominent ex-OpenAI leaders as advisers: Bob McGrew, former chief research officer, and Alec Radford, a pioneering researcher behind GPT technology. While the startup's specific research agenda remains vague, it aims to build AI systems that are "more widely understood, customizable, and generally capable" than current options.
Skynet Chance (+0.04%): The concentration of top AI talent from OpenAI in a new venture increases competitive pressure in advanced AI development, potentially accelerating capability advances while diluting established safety cultures, though the emphasis on making AI "more widely understood" suggests some focus on transparency.
Skynet Date (-2 days): The creation of a well-funded competitor with elite talent from OpenAI intensifies the competitive landscape for advanced AI development, likely accelerating timeframes as multiple groups pursue similar cutting-edge capabilities in parallel.
AGI Progress (+0.05%): The migration of key talent responsible for OpenAI's most transformative technologies to a new venture focused on "generally capable" AI systems represents a moderate redistribution of expertise rather than new capabilities, though it may lead to novel approaches through competitive pressure.
AGI Date (-3 days): The formation of an additional well-resourced lab led by the architects of breakthrough AI systems like GPT intensifies competition in advanced AI development, likely accelerating progress toward AGI through parallel efforts and competitive dynamics.