February 4, 2026 News
Google Gemini Surpasses 750 Million Monthly Users, Trails ChatGPT in AI Chatbot Race
Google's Gemini AI chatbot has reached 750 million monthly active users in Q4 2025, showing rapid growth from 650 million the previous quarter. The expansion coincides with the launch of Gemini 3, Google's most advanced model, and a new affordable subscription tier at $7.99/month, though Gemini still trails ChatGPT's 810 million users.
Skynet Chance (+0.01%): Massive consumer adoption (750M users) of AI systems increases societal dependence on AI decision-making and normalizes AI integration into daily life, marginally raising long-term risks of uncontrolled AI influence. However, this represents deployment of existing technology rather than fundamental capability breakthroughs in autonomy or control.
Skynet Date (+0 days): Widespread commercial deployment and rapid user growth accelerates AI infrastructure build-out and normalization of AI systems in society, slightly hastening the timeline for potential advanced AI scenarios. The competitive pressure between major AI labs may push faster iteration cycles.
AGI Progress (+0.02%): The launch of Gemini 3 with "unprecedented depth and nuance" and processing over 10 billion tokens per minute demonstrates continued scaling and capability improvements in large language models. This represents meaningful incremental progress toward more general AI systems, though it's still within the current paradigm of scaled language models.
AGI Date (+0 days): Google's massive revenue growth ($400B annual) and continued investment in AI infrastructure (new Ironwood TPU chips) provides substantial resources for accelerated research and development. The competitive dynamics with ChatGPT and deployment at scale create strong market incentives for faster AGI capability development.