Risk Categorization AI News & Updates
EU AI Act Begins Enforcement Against 'Unacceptable Risk' AI Systems
The European Union's AI Act has reached its first compliance deadline, banning AI systems deemed to pose "unacceptable risk" as of February 2, 2025. These prohibited applications include AI for social scoring, emotion recognition in schools/workplaces, biometric categorization systems, predictive policing, and manipulation through subliminal techniques, with violations potentially resulting in fines up to €35 million or 7% of annual revenue.
Skynet Chance (-0.2%): The EU AI Act establishes significant guardrails against potentially harmful AI applications, creating a comprehensive regulatory framework that reduces the probability of unchecked AI development leading to uncontrolled or harmful systems, particularly by preventing manipulative and surveillance-oriented applications.
Skynet Date (+4 days): The implementation of substantial regulatory oversight and prohibition of certain AI applications will likely slow the deployment of advanced AI systems in the EU, extending the timeline for potentially harmful AI by requiring thorough risk assessments and compliance protocols before deployment.
AGI Progress (-0.08%): While not directly targeting AGI research, the EU's risk-based approach creates regulatory friction that may slow certain paths to AGI, particularly those involving human behavioral manipulation, mass surveillance, or other risky capabilities that might otherwise contribute to broader AI advancement.
AGI Date (+2 days): The regulatory requirements for high-risk AI systems will likely increase development time and compliance costs, potentially pushing back AGI timelines as companies must dedicate resources to ensuring their systems meet regulatory standards rather than focusing solely on capability advancement.