international trade AI News & Updates
Trump Administration Rescinds Biden's AI Chip Export Controls
The US Department of Commerce has officially rescinded the Biden Administration's Artificial Intelligence Diffusion Rule that would have implemented tiered export controls on AI chips to various countries. The Trump Administration plans to replace it with a different approach focused on direct country negotiations rather than blanket restrictions, while maintaining vigilance against adversaries accessing US AI technology.
Skynet Chance (+0.04%): The relaxation of export controls potentially increases proliferation of advanced AI chips globally, which could enable more entities to develop sophisticated AI systems with less oversight, increasing the possibility of unaligned or dangerous AI development.
Skynet Date (-1 days): By potentially accelerating global access to advanced AI hardware, the policy change may slightly speed up capabilities development worldwide, bringing forward the timeline for potential control risks associated with advanced AI systems.
AGI Progress (+0.03%): Reduced export controls could facilitate wider distribution of high-performance AI chips, potentially accelerating global AI research and development through increased hardware access, though the precise replacement policies remain undefined.
AGI Date (-2 days): The removal of tiered restrictions likely accelerates the timeline to AGI by enabling more international actors to access cutting-edge AI hardware, potentially speeding up compute-intensive AGI-relevant research outside traditional power centers.