Reasoning Capabilities AI News & Updates
Google Releases Gemini 3 Foundation Model with Record-Breaking Reasoning Capabilities
Google has launched Gemini 3, its most advanced foundation model to date, available immediately through the Gemini app and AI search interface. The model achieved record-breaking benchmark scores, including 37.4 on Humanity's Last Exam and top placement on LMArena, representing a significant advancement in AI reasoning capabilities. Google also released Gemini 3 Deepthink for research and Antigravity, an agentic coding interface for software development.
Skynet Chance (+0.04%): The significant jump in reasoning capabilities and multi-modal agentic abilities (Antigravity) represents increased AI autonomy and decision-making capacity, which could make alignment and control more challenging. However, the mention of safety testing for Deepthink suggests continued focus on risk mitigation.
Skynet Date (-1 days): The rapid advancement in reasoning and autonomous capabilities (released just 7 months after previous version, with agentic coding features) accelerates the timeline toward potentially uncontrollable AI systems. The blistering pace of frontier model development noted in the article (multiple major releases within months) compounds acceleration concerns.
AGI Progress (+0.04%): The record-breaking performance on Humanity's Last Exam benchmark (37.4 vs previous 31.64) and top LMArena ranking demonstrate substantial progress in general reasoning and expertise, key components of AGI. The "massive jump in reasoning" with "depth and nuance" represents meaningful advancement toward human-level general intelligence.
AGI Date (-1 days): The compressed 7-month development cycle between major releases and the significant capability jumps indicate an accelerating pace toward AGI. The widespread deployment to 650 million users and 13 million developers also accelerates the feedback loop and resource investment driving faster AGI development.
xAI Releases Grok 3 API with Reasoning Capabilities at Premium Pricing
Elon Musk's AI company xAI has launched an API for its flagship Grok 3 model, offering both standard and mini versions with reasoning capabilities. The pricing is relatively high compared to competitors, with Grok 3 costing $3 per million input tokens and $15 per million output tokens, while also falling short of previously claimed capabilities like its context window.
Skynet Chance (+0.01%): While Grok 3's release adds another advanced AI model to the ecosystem, its capabilities appear comparable to existing models rather than representing a significant breakthrough that would increase existential risk from advanced AI.
Skynet Date (+0 days): Grok 3's capabilities and pricing positioning suggest it's keeping pace with industry developments rather than accelerating or decelerating timelines toward potentially unsafe AI scenarios.
AGI Progress (+0.01%): The addition of reasoning capabilities to Grok 3 represents incremental progress in AI reasoning abilities, though benchmark reports suggest it's not outperforming existing leading models in a way that significantly advances the field toward AGI.
AGI Date (+0 days): As xAI appears to be following rather than leading the development curve with capabilities comparable to existing models, Grok 3's release doesn't meaningfully affect expected AGI timelines.