OpenAI Co-founder John Schulman Joins Mira Murati's New AI Venture

Skynet Chance (+0.01%): Schulman's explicit interest in AI alignment and his move to join Murati suggests creation of another well-resourced lab focused on advanced AI development, potentially with safety considerations. However, the proliferation of well-funded AI labs with top talent increases the likelihood of competitive dynamics that could prioritize capabilities over safety concerns.

Skynet Date (-1 days): The concentration of elite AI talent in a new venture with substantial funding will likely accelerate development timelines for advanced AI systems. Schulman's expertise in reinforcement learning and Murati's leadership experience at OpenAI create a formidable team that could make rapid progress on key technical challenges.

AGI Progress (+0.02%): The formation of a new AI company led by two highly accomplished AI leaders with hands-on experience building state-of-the-art systems at OpenAI represents a meaningful addition to the AGI development landscape. Their combined expertise in reinforcement learning, large language models, and scaling AI systems will likely contribute to significant technical advances.

AGI Date (-1 days): The concentration of elite AI talent (including a ChatGPT architect and former OpenAI supercomputing team member) in a new well-funded venture will likely accelerate progress toward AGI. Their combined experience with cutting-edge AI systems gives them a significant head start in pursuing advanced capabilities.