OpenAI Creates Math Advisory Board as Internal Model Claims 100+ Solved Open Problems

Skynet Chance (+0.08 pp): An internal model autonomously producing novel research-level mathematics signals capability generalization beyond human expert verification bandwidth, and the advisory group is explicitly barred from slowing or redirecting the work. Oversight that is unpaid, non-binding, and excluded from pacing decisions offers little real check on a fast-moving capability frontier.

Skynet Date (2 days sooner): Claims of over 100 open problems resolved by a single unreleased model suggest a sharper capability jump than the public frontier implies, pulling forward the timeline on which powerful, hard-to-audit systems operate. The competitive framing among labs racing to claim famous proofs adds pressure that discourages caution.

AGI Progress (+0.08 pp): Solving open research-level mathematics, including a Millennium Prize problem, is a long-standing benchmark for genuine reasoning, long-horizon search, and novel concept formation rather than pattern retrieval. If the claims hold up to verification, this is a substantive step toward general problem-solving capability.

AGI Date (2 days sooner): A model producing results across most areas of mathematics at this volume implies internal capabilities well ahead of deployed products, compressing expected timelines to general reasoning systems. Skepticism from Fields Medalists about the frenzied pace tempers but does not negate the acceleration signal.